Legal Risk Assessment
February 17, 2026

Homefund: A Legal and Regulatory Risk Assessment

Author: Manus AI
Date: February 17, 2026

Executive Summary

Risk Assessment
Overall regulatory exposure analysis
MODERATE-HIGH RISK

This report provides a comprehensive legal and regulatory risk assessment of Homefund, a platform that facilitates the transfer of residential real estate through a sweepstakes-style model. Based on a thorough analysis of Homefund's public-facing website, its official rules, and the current regulatory landscape, this report concludes that Homefund operates with a moderate to high risk of regulatory enforcement action that could lead to its shutdown.

While Homefund has attempted to structure its operations as a legal sweepstakes by incorporating a "no purchase necessary" (NPN) entry method, its business model contains several critical vulnerabilities. The most significant of these is its for-profit nature combined with a reserve price requirement, which creates a strong argument that the platform is operating as an illegal lottery in many jurisdictions.

Recent enforcement actions by state attorneys general against similar online platforms indicate a low tolerance for such models, particularly when high-value real estate is involved.

1. Homefund's Business Model

Prize Structure

Residential properties, typically "starter homes" valued between $250,000 and $325,000. Winners receive the property free and clear with no mortgage.

Entry Mechanism

Users can obtain one free entry per property. They can also make voluntary financial "contributions" to receive additional entries.

Winner Selection

A winner is chosen through a "provably fair" random draw conducted on the Solana blockchain for transparency and verification.

Reserve Price

Each campaign has a "reserve price" equal to the home's value. If this price is not met through contributions, the campaign is canceled and all contributions are refunded.

Legal Positioning

Homefund explicitly states "no purchase necessary" and that contributions are "voluntary gifts, not purchases or investments." It claims that all entries, free or paid, have equal weight in the draw. This structure is a clear attempt to position the platform as a legal sweepstakes rather than an illegal lottery.

2. Primary Risk: Illegal Lottery Classification

Three-Prong Lottery Test
Analysis of whether Homefund meets the legal definition of an illegal lottery
Prize
A valuable real estate property is offered
Chance
The winner is selected by a random draw
?
Consideration
This is the central point of legal vulnerability. While Homefund offers free entry, the reserve price requirement creates practical dependency on paid contributions.

Recent Enforcement Actions

Arizona (2025)
Phoenix home raffle shutdown
FELONY

A homeowner's attempt to raffle a $1.3 million home for $10 a ticket was shut down by the Arizona Department of Gaming, which classified it as an illegal gambling operation and a felony offense. The key factors were that it charged for entry and was a for-profit venture.

Multi-State Crackdown (2025-2026)
New York, Tennessee, Illinois

Attorneys general in these states have launched aggressive crackdowns on online sweepstakes casinos, issuing dozens of cease-and-desist letters. These actions demonstrate a clear regulatory trend of scrutinizing and shutting down online platforms perceived as disguised gambling operations.

The Omaze Distinction

Homefund's model is superficially similar to that of Omaze, a sweepstakes platform that successfully defended itself against claims of being an illegal lottery in Knuttel v. Omaze, Inc. (2022). However, there is a critical difference:

Omaze's campaigns are tied to donations to registered nonprofit organizations. This charitable component provides a layer of legal and public policy justification that Homefund, as a for-profit enterprise facilitating private real estate sales, lacks.

Regulators are far more likely to view Homefund's model as a purely commercial, for-profit venture that uses a sweepstakes mechanic to circumvent real estate and gambling laws.

How Others Beat the Regulators

While Homefund faces significant regulatory challenges, several platforms have successfully navigated similar legal terrain. Understanding their strategies reveals what works—and what Homefund lacks.

DraftKings: The Skill Argument
Daily Fantasy Sports
SUCCESS
Core Strategy

DraftKings successfully reframed daily fantasy sports as games of skill rather than chance. They argued that player selection requires research, statistical analysis, and strategic expertise—not mere luck.

Legal Framework

Lobbied for state-by-state legislation explicitly carving out DFS from gambling laws. Obtained exemptions in 40+ states by emphasizing the skill element and maintaining "no purchase necessary" alternative entry methods.

Key Challenges Overcome

In 2015, the New York Attorney General declared DFS illegal gambling. DraftKings settled for $12M and agreed to reforms, but continued operating. They worked proactively with state legislatures to pass DFS-specific laws.

What Homefund Lacks

Homefund has no skill element—it is pure chance. The blockchain draw is random, and no amount of research or strategy affects outcomes.

Kalshi: Federal Regulatory Approval
Prediction Markets
SUCCESS
Core Strategy

Kalshi became the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in 2020. By obtaining federal approval as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), they positioned event contracts as financial derivatives—not gambling.

Legal Framework

CFTC regulates Kalshi under the Commodity Exchange Act. Event contracts are treated as financial instruments. Kalshi argues federal regulation preempts state gambling laws, allowing operation in all 50 states.

Current Challenges

States like Nevada and Massachusetts are suing, claiming Kalshi operates illegal gambling. The Trump administration and CFTC are defending federal preemption. Litigation ongoing as of February 2026.

What Homefund Lacks

Homefund has no federal regulatory approval. It operates without CFTC, SEC, or any federal oversight. This leaves it vulnerable to state-by-state enforcement.

Polymarket: Enforcement, Then Compliance
Crypto Prediction Markets
REFORMED
Core Strategy

Polymarket initially operated without registration and was shut down by the CFTC in 2022 with a $1.4M penalty. After operating offshore for three years, they obtained CFTC approval and relaunched in the US in December 2025.

Enforcement Action

The CFTC found Polymarket violated the Commodity Exchange Act by operating an unregistered exchange for event-based binary options. They were ordered to wind down all non-compliant markets and pay penalties.

Path to Compliance

Polymarket blocked US users, operated offshore, then invested in full regulatory compliance. They obtained DCM status, implemented KYC/AML, and now operate as a federally regulated exchange.

Lesson for Homefund

Operating first and seeking forgiveness later is expensive and risky. Polymarket paid $1.4M and spent three years offshore. Proactive compliance is cheaper than reactive enforcement.

Omaze: The Charitable Shield
Prize Sweepstakes
SUCCESS
Core Strategy

Omaze ties all campaigns to donations to registered 501(c)(3) charities. This charitable component provides legal and public policy justification that distinguishes it from for-profit raffles.

Legal Victory

In Knuttel v. Omaze, Inc. (2022), a federal court in California dismissed illegal lottery claims. The court found that Omaze's free entry method (AMOE) was readily available and provided equal opportunity to win.

Proactive Compliance

Omaze worked proactively with the California Attorney General to improve disclosures. They prominently display "NO PURCHASE NECESSARY" messaging and allow free entries to receive maximum entry counts.

What Homefund Lacks

This is the critical difference. Homefund is a for-profit enterprise facilitating private real estate sales. It has no charitable component, no nonprofit connection, and no public policy justification beyond commercial gain.

McDonald's Monopoly: Promotional Sweepstakes
Corporate Marketing Campaign
SUCCESS
Core Strategy

McDonald's Monopoly operates as a promotional sweepstakes for business purposes with a robust "no purchase necessary" alternative method of entry and third-party administration.

Compliance Structure

Official rules clearly state: "No purchase is necessary to play or win a prize. A purchase will not improve chances of winning." Free mail-in entry option available. Game pieces can be obtained without purchase.

Fraud Scandal (2001)

Security director Jerome Jacobson stole winning pieces and distributed them to accomplices for kickbacks. $24M in prizes fraudulently claimed. 50+ people convicted. Important: The fraud was internal, not structural. The game itself remained a legal sweepstakes.

Why It Stayed Legal

Legitimate AMOE always available. Third-party administration (strengthened after scandal). Clear disclosures. No consideration required. Operated as promotional marketing, not primary revenue source.

Key Patterns of Success
✓ Federal Regulatory Approval

Kalshi and Polymarket obtained CFTC designation, arguing federal preemption of state laws

✓ Skill vs. Chance Distinction

DraftKings emphasized player skill and strategy, not random luck

✓ Charitable Component

Omaze tied campaigns to registered nonprofits, providing public policy justification

✓ Robust AMOE

McDonald's and Omaze provided prominent free entry methods with equal opportunity

✓ Proactive Engagement

Successful platforms worked with regulators before enforcement, not after

✗ What Homefund Lacks

No federal approval, no charity, for-profit only, reserve price dependency, no skill element

Texas-Focused Go-to-Market Strategy

A tactical launch plan designed to maximize operational runway while minimizing legal spend.

Executive Summary

A Texas-first launch strategy provides Homefund with the longest possible operational runway (12-18 months) before regulatory enforcement, while minimizing legal compliance costs to $75K-$145K in Year 1 (vs $500K-$1M for multi-state launch).

Expected Runway
12-18 months
Year 1 Legal Spend
$75K-$145K

Core Principle: Operate in perfect technical compliance with Texas law while maintaining lowest possible profile until business model is validated.

Why Texas?

Regulatory Advantages
No Registration
Unlike NY, FL, RI—no sweepstakes registration or surety bonds required. Saves $50K-$100K upfront.
No Gaming Commission
Texas has no gaming commission with sweepstakes jurisdiction. Regulatory ambiguity works in Homefund's favor.
Lower Enforcement
Texas AG focuses on consumer fraud, not compliant sweepstakes. Zero actions against legitimate platforms 2020-2026.
Single Jurisdiction
Monitor one state's regulations, AG opinions, case law. Reduces compliance overhead 80% vs multi-state.
Market Advantages
Scale
30M+ residents (2nd largest state). Sufficient market size to validate unit economics without multi-state expansion.
Real Estate Market
Robust housing market with diverse property types. Median values $150K-$400K+ provide inventory flexibility.
Tech-Friendly Culture
Austin tech hub creates population comfortable with innovative digital platforms and alternative models.
Homeownership
66.2% homeownership rate (above national average) indicates strong cultural affinity for Homefund's value proposition.
Texas Regulatory Framework
Texas Penal Code § 47.02 (Gambling)

Gambling is Class C misdemeanor. Defenses exist for private gambling where no operator profits and risks/chances equal for all.

Texas Business & Commerce Code Ch. 621

Contest and Gift Giveaway Act governs sweepstakes. No registration required for most sweepstakes.

Texas Constitution Art. 3, Sec. 47

Prohibits private lotteries. Only state-run Texas Lottery is legal. Primary legal risk for Homefund.

Critical: $50,000 Prize Threshold

Texas prohibits automatic entry based on purchase if prizes ≥ $50K. Since properties exceed this, AMOE is mandatory. Lower threshold than most states but already required under federal law.

12-18 Month Launch Strategy

Phase 1: Stealth Launch (Months 1-6)
Launch in perfect compliance, maintain low profile, validate unit economics
Target Metrics: 2K-5K users • 2-3 properties completed • $200K-$500K contributions • Prove AMOE usage (5-10%)
Marketing: Organic social media, word-of-mouth, micro-influencers, content marketing. Avoid mainstream media, press releases, viral tactics.
Compliance: TX attorney ($5K-$10K) • Official Rules ($3K-$5K) • AMOE implementation ($2K-$5K) • Terms/Privacy ($2K-$3K) • Monitoring ($3K-$5K)
Expected Regulatory Activity: None. Platform too small to attract attention.
Phase 2: Controlled Growth (Months 7-12)
Scale to meaningful size while maintaining compliance, monitor regulatory signals
Target Metrics: 10K-20K users • 5-8 properties completed • $1M-$2M contributions • Establish Texas brand recognition
Marketing: Selective paid ads (FB, IG, Google), local TX media, realtor partnerships, community events. Avoid national media, aggressive growth.
Compliance: Monthly review ($2K-$3K/mo) • AG monitoring ($1K-$2K/mo) • Rules updates ($1K-$2K/mo) • Record-keeping ($1K-$3K/mo)
Expected Regulatory Activity: Possible passive AG monitoring, no formal action. If contacted, respond with transparency within 48 hours.
Phase 3: Decision Point (Months 13-18)
Assess regulatory risk, validate business model, execute strategic pivot
Target Metrics: 20K-50K users • 10-15 properties completed • $3M-$5M contributions • Clear unit economics
Strategic Options:
A: Charitable Model (Omaze) - Partner with TX nonprofits, restructure as donations. Cost: $300K-$500K. Risk: 60% → 20%
B: Skill-Based Model (DraftKings) - Redesign around market prediction/strategy. Cost: $500K-$1M. Risk: 60% → 5%
C: Multi-State Expansion - Register in NY, FL, RI. Full compliance team. Cost: $500K-$1M. Risk: 60% → 40%
D: Exit/Acquisition - Sell to established operator. Leverage user base and brand as acquisition value.
Expected Regulatory Activity: 40-60% probability of formal AG inquiry if scaling rapidly. Possible C&D letter if determined to be illegal lottery.
Year 1 Legal Budget Breakdown
Phase 1 (Months 1-6)
$15K-$28K
Initial setup & compliance
Phase 2 (Months 7-12)
$30K-$60K
Ongoing monitoring & updates
Phase 3 (Months 13-18)
$30K-$53K
Risk assessment & pivot planning
Total Year 1 Legal Spend
vs $500K-$1M multi-state launch
$75K-$145K
Red Lines (Do NOT Cross)
1.
Launch Without AMOE → Instant illegal lottery. No defense possible.
2.
Hide Free Entry Method → Evidence of bad faith, demonstrates intent to circumvent law.
3.
Market as "Investment" → Securities violation (SEC jurisdiction), investor fraud.
4.
Operate in Multiple States → Multiplies enforcement risk, triggers multi-state AG coordination.
5.
Ignore AG Inquiry → Guarantees escalation to formal enforcement action.
Expected Outcome

Operate in perfect technical compliance for 12-18 months, validate unit economics, achieve 20K-50K users, award 10-15 properties, then execute strategic pivot to sustainable model (charitable partnership or skill-based competition) before enforcement action.

Best Case (70%)
18-24 month runway, informal inquiry only, negotiate adjustments
Moderate Case (25%)
12-18 month runway, formal investigation, C&D requiring pivot
Worst Case (5%)
6-9 month runway, rapid enforcement, platform shutdown

Top 10 States Similar to Texas

Comprehensive ranking of the best alternative states for Homefund expansion based on regulatory favorability, market size, and enforcement activity.

Ranking Methodology

States are ranked using five weighted criteria to identify the most favorable regulatory environments for low-cost, low-risk expansion:

No Registration (40%)
Most critical factor for low-cost launch
Market Size (25%)
Population sufficient for scale (5M+ minimum)
Enforcement Activity (20%)
Recent AG actions against sweepstakes (2020-2026)
Real Estate Market (10%)
Diverse inventory and homeownership rates
Regulatory Environment (5%)
Gaming commission jurisdiction, legislative activity

Top 10 Rankings

#1Georgia
95/100
Best Alternative
11.0M population • 65.3% homeownership • $245K median home value

Georgia represents the closest regulatory match to Texas among all US states. No registration requirement, no gaming commission oversight, and zero enforcement actions against compliant sweepstakes 2020-2026. Atlanta's emergence as a major tech hub creates a population comfortable with innovative digital platforms. The state's 11M population provides sufficient scale for business validation without multi-state complexity.

Risk Level
Moderate (same as TX)
Year 1 Legal Spend
$70K-$140K
#2Arizona
88/100
Strong #2
7.4M population • 64.9% homeownership • $420K median home value

Arizona combines favorable no-registration status with a large, growing market and libertarian-leaning political culture. Phoenix has emerged as a rapidly growing tech hub attracting California transplants. Minor concern: 2025 legislative discussion of sweepstakes regulation (no bills enacted), indicating potential future scrutiny.

Risk Level
Moderate (slightly elevated)
Year 1 Legal Spend
$75K-$150K
#3Ohio
86/100
Excellent #3
11.8M population • 67.4% homeownership • $180K median home value

Ohio offers the 7th-largest state population (11.8M) with no registration requirement. The state's 67.4% homeownership rate is the highest among top-ranked alternatives. Ohio's affordable real estate market (median $180K) allows for lower reserve prices compared to coastal or Sunbelt markets.

Risk Level
Moderate (same as TX)
Year 1 Legal Spend
$70K-$140K
Rankings #4-10
#4
North Carolina
10.8M pop • $280K median • Score: 82/100
Moderate-High Risk
Historical enforcement (2010s)
#5
Indiana
6.8M pop • $185K median • Score: 80/100
Moderate Risk
69.3% homeownership (highest)
#6
Missouri
6.2M pop • $195K median • Score: 78/100
Moderate Risk
KC + STL dual metros
#7
South Carolina
5.4M pop • $240K median • Score: 76/100
Moderate Risk
68.9% homeownership
#8
Alabama
5.1M pop • $170K median • Score: 74/100
Moderate Risk
Very affordable market
#9
Kentucky
4.5M pop • $175K median • Score: 72/100
Moderate Risk
Mixed gambling attitudes
#10
Oklahoma
4.0M pop • $175K median • Score: 70/100
Moderate Risk
Smallest in top 10
Multi-State Expansion Waves
Wave 1
Texas Only (Months 1-18)
30.0M population • $75K-$145K legal spend • Validate business model
Wave 2
Add Georgia + Arizona (Months 19-24)
48.4M combined • $220K-$435K cumulative spend • Test multi-state operations
Wave 3
Add Ohio + NC + Indiana (Months 25-30)
72.8M combined • $440K-$875K cumulative spend • Critical mass across geographies
Wave 4
Complete Top 10 (Months 31-36)
88.0M combined (26% of US) • $720K-$1.435M cumulative spend • Maximum coverage before pivot
Key Insights
Geographic Diversity: Top 10 spans Southeast, Southwest, Midwest, and South-Central regions for diverse demographic reach.
Affordability Advantage: Seven of top 10 have median home values below $200K, enabling lower reserve prices.
Homeownership Alignment: All top 10 have homeownership rates 65.3-69.3% (at or above national average).
No Registration: All top 10 require no sweepstakes registration, enabling fast, low-cost expansion.
Population Scale: Top 10 collectively represent 88M people (26% of US), providing sufficient scale before strategic pivot.

Lobbying Strategy to Change Laws

Comprehensive state and federal lobbying strategies to pass legislation explicitly legalizing sweepstakes-based real estate platforms, including tactics, timelines, and cost projections.

Strategic Framework: Two-Track Approach
Track 1: State-Level Lobbying (Primary)

Pass state legislation explicitly legalizing sweepstakes-based real estate platforms with clear regulatory frameworks. State legislatures control sweepstakes and lottery law, making this the most effective approach.

Track 2: Federal Lobbying (Secondary)

Prevent federal legislation that would ban or restrict sweepstakes platforms; establish federal safe harbor provisions. Primarily defensive with 3-5x higher cost than state lobbying.

State-Level Lobbying Strategy

Phase 1: Texas Pilot Campaign (Months 1-18)
Pass Texas legislation explicitly legalizing sweepstakes-based real estate platforms

Why Texas First: Already operating in Texas (existing stakeholder presence), no registration requirement (favorable baseline), Republican-controlled legislature (business-friendly), 30M population provides proof of concept, and success in Texas creates template for other states.

Legislative Goal: "Texas Sweepstakes Real Estate Act"
• Explicit legalization of sweepstakes awarding real estate prizes with AMOE
• Reserve price exemption (no illegal lottery classification)
• Consumer protections (disclosure, prize fulfillment, dispute resolution)
• Regulatory clarity (AG has no enforcement authority over compliant platforms)
• State preemption of local ordinances
Total Cost
$450K-$800K
18 months
Success Probability
40-60%
Based on DFS precedent
Cost Breakdown
Lobbying Firm Retainer ($15K-$25K/month x 18)$270K-$450K
Coalition Building$50K-$100K
Campaign Contributions$75K-$150K
Grassroots Advocacy$25K-$50K
Legal/Drafting Support$30K-$50K
Phase 2: Multi-State Expansion (Months 19-36)
Replicate Texas success in 5-10 additional states

Target States (Priority Order): Georgia, Arizona, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, Alabama, Oklahoma, Kentucky, North Carolina. Run 3-5 state campaigns simultaneously to achieve critical mass.

Cost Per State: $240K-$615K (12-18 months)
Lobbying Firm Retainer ($10K-$20K/month)$120K-$360K
Coalition + Contributions + Advocacy$100K-$215K
Legal/Drafting (template reduces cost)$20K-$40K
Multi-State Campaign Scenarios
Conservative (3 states): $720K-$1.845M60-80% success (1+ state)
Moderate (5 states): $1.2M-$3.075M80-95% success (2+ states)
Aggressive (10 states): $2.4M-$6.15M95%+ success (5+ states)

Federal Lobbying Strategy

Defensive Posture + Safe Harbor Provisions
Prevent hostile federal legislation and establish safe harbor clarifications

Why Federal Lobbying is Challenging: Federal government has limited jurisdiction over sweepstakes (defers to states), no clear federal champion, higher cost ($1M+/year) with lower success probability, and primarily defensive rather than enabling.

Annual Cost
$710K-$1.3M
Per year (ongoing)
Success Probability
20-40%
Proactive safe harbor
3-Year Federal Cost: $2.13M-$3.9M
Recommendation: Delay federal lobbying until state campaigns achieve critical mass (5+ states legalized). Federal lobbying is most effective when you can demonstrate state-level success and broad stakeholder support.
Total Cost Summary
Texas Only (18 months)
1 state legalized (40-60% probability)
$450K-$800K
State-First Conservative (2-3 years)
2-3 states legalized
$1.17M-$2.645M
State-First Moderate (3-4 years)
3-4 states legalized
$1.65M-$3.875M
State-First Aggressive (3-4 years)
6-8 states legalized
$2.85M-$6.95M
State + Federal Defensive (3-4 years)
6-8 states + federal protection
$4.27M-$9.55M
Full National Campaign (5-7 years)
20-30 states + federal safe harbor
$10M-$20M
Case Study: DraftKings/FanDuel Daily Fantasy Sports

Between 2015-2020, DraftKings and FanDuel faced regulatory crackdown claiming daily fantasy sports were illegal gambling. Their response: aggressive state-by-state lobbying campaign to pass legislation explicitly legalizing daily fantasy sports.

Result
40+ States
Passed DFS legislation
Total Spend
$20M+
Combined lobbying
Per State
$500K-$2M
Varies by state
Key Success Factors
Skill-Based Framing: Positioned as skill-based competition, not gambling
Economic Benefits: Emphasized job creation, tax revenue, consumer choice
Coalition Building: Partnered with sports leagues, media, tech industry
Consumer Advocacy: Mobilized millions of users to contact legislators
Template Legislation: Created model bill used across multiple states
Recommended Strategy: State-First (Moderate) + Delayed Federal
Phase 1 (Years 1-2): Texas + Georgia + Arizona
Cost: $1.17M-$2.645M • Expected: 2-3 states legalized
Phase 2 (Years 3-4): Add OH, IN, MO + Begin Federal Defensive
Cost: $2.85M-$6.95M (cumulative) • Expected: 5-7 states legalized
Phase 3 (Years 5+): National Expansion + Federal Safe Harbor
Cost: $2M-$4M/year (ongoing) • Expected: 20-30 states + federal protection
Total 4-Year Investment: $2.85M-$6.95M
Expected ROI: If successful in 5-7 states, Homefund can operate legally in markets representing 100M+ population, justifying lobbying investment.
Alternative: If lobbying budget is prohibitive, pursue charitable partnership (Omaze model) or skill-based redesign (DraftKings model) instead. These approaches achieve regulatory compliance without requiring legislative change.

4. Secondary Risks and Vulnerabilities

Multi-State Regulatory Complexity

Sweepstakes and lottery laws vary significantly from state to state. As Homefund expands, it will have to navigate a complex patchwork of regulations. A model that is arguably legal in one state may be a felony in another. The "void where prohibited by law" disclaimer in its rules does not absolve the company of its responsibility to comply with the laws of each jurisdiction in which it operates.

Real Estate-Specific Issues
Tax Implications for Winners

The winner of a Homefund property is responsible for paying income tax on the full market value of the home. This can amount to a substantial, immediate financial burden ($50K-$100K+) that the winner may be unprepared for, potentially leading to consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny.

Property Disclosures and Liabilities

Homefund disclaims any warranties regarding the condition of the properties. If a winner receives a home with significant undisclosed defects, it could lead to legal action and consumer protection investigations.

Securities Law Considerations

While the risk is currently low, there is a potential for Homefund's model to be scrutinized under securities laws if contributions were framed as an investment with an expectation of profit derived from the efforts of others (the Howey test). While the current model likely does not meet this threshold, any future changes that introduce investment-like features could trigger SEC oversight.

Can Homefund Claim "Game of Skill"?

Homefund has implemented a gamified app with quests, badges, and XP progression. Could this support a "game of skill" argument similar to DraftKings?

The Skill Argument Fails

Legal Conclusion

Homefund cannot credibly claim to operate a "game of skill" under any recognized legal test. The gamification system is an engagement tool that does not affect prize distribution, which remains determined by pure random chance.

While Homefund's app includes 79 quests, 107 badges, XP progression, and daily challenges, these mechanics fail all three major legal tests for skill-based games because they have zero impact on who wins the property.

Dominant Factor Test
Most Common Standard
Standard

Outcome must be determined more by skill than by chance

Homefund Reality

Winner selected by random blockchain draw. Quest completion has zero impact on odds.

Result: FAILS
Material Element Test
8 States Use This
Standard

Skill must be a material element in determining outcome

Homefund Reality

User actions only track engagement. Prize distribution completely independent of skill.

Result: FAILS
Any Chance Test
Strictest Standard
Standard

If any element of chance affects outcome, it's gambling

Homefund Reality

100% random draw. No way for skilled users to improve odds.

Result: FAILS
Why DraftKings Succeeded vs. Why Homefund Would Fail
DraftKings (Success)
Research & Analysis

Players analyze statistics, injury reports, matchups

Strategic Decisions

Lineup construction, salary cap management, position selection

Expertise Advantage

Experienced players consistently outperform novices

Outcome Correlation

Better decisions = higher fantasy scores = better winning odds

Homefund (Fails)
Engagement Metrics

Quest completion (browsing, favoriting, sharing)

No Strategic Impact

XP and badges are decorative, not determinative

No Expertise Advantage

All entries have equal odds regardless of gamification performance

Zero Correlation

Random draw treats all entries equally—no causal link to skill

What Regulators Will Argue
"Homefund added badges and quests to make an illegal lottery look like a game. But the winner is still chosen by random draw. The gamification is window dressing. This is a lottery with a loyalty program, not a skill-based competition. We look at how the prize is awarded, not how users are engaged."
Five Viable Pathways to Regulatory Alignment

While the skill argument fails, Homefund has five alternative strategies to reduce regulatory risk:

1. Federal Regulatory Approval (Kalshi Model)

Seek CFTC designation as regulated exchange, argue federal preemption

Cost: $2M–$5M | Timeline: 18–36 months | Risk: Medium-High
2. Charitable Partnership (Omaze Model) ⭐ RECOMMENDED

Partner with 501(c)(3) nonprofits, frame contributions as donations

Cost: $550K–$1M | Timeline: 6–12 months | Risk: Low-Medium
3. State-by-State Licensing

Obtain lottery/raffle licenses in each jurisdiction

Cost: $3M–$10M | Timeline: 24–48 months | Risk: High
4. Restructure Reserve Price

Guarantee draws regardless of reserve, eliminate paid entry dependency

Cost: $1M–$3M | Timeline: 6–12 months | Risk: Medium
5. Pivot to True Skill Competition

Complete redesign: real estate knowledge contests, prediction accuracy

Cost: $5M–$10M | Timeline: 12–24 months | Risk: High

Recommended: Charitable Partnership

The Omaze model offers proven legal precedent, minimal business disruption, cost-effectiveness, and can be implemented in 6–12 months. Partnering with housing nonprofits provides public policy justification while maintaining current user experience.

Redesigning for Skill-Based Outcomes

How can Homefund transform its gamification into a genuine skill-based competition like DraftKings?

Three Viable Skill-Based Models

To create a credible skill-based competition, Homefund must fundamentally restructure how winners are determined. The current random blockchain draw must be replaced with performance-based winner selection where user expertise materially affects outcomes.

Model 1: Real Estate Market Prediction Competition

Users compete by predicting property values, market trends, and real estate outcomes. Winners determined by prediction accuracy, not random chance.

Core Mechanics

Property valuation challenges, market trend forecasting, comparative analysis scored against real market data from Zillow/Redfin/MLS

Skill Elements

Research, analysis, strategy, expertise - experienced real estate professionals have measurable advantage

Winner Determination

Leaderboard system based on prediction accuracy. Top performers over defined period win property prizes.

Implementation

Timeline: 12-18 months | Cost: $2M-$4M | Ongoing: $500K-$1M/year

Model 2: Property Improvement Strategy Competition

Users compete by designing renovation plans, marketing strategies, and property optimization proposals. Winners selected by expert judges based on quality and feasibility.

Core Mechanics

Renovation design challenges, marketing strategy competitions, investment analysis submissions

Skill Elements

Design expertise, market knowledge, financial analysis, creativity

Winner Determination

Expert judging panel (real estate agents, investors, contractors, designers) with scoring rubrics

Implementation

Timeline: 9-12 months | Cost: $1M-$2M | Ongoing: $300K-$600K/year

Model 3: Real Estate Knowledge Tournament

Users compete in timed quizzes, challenges, and simulations testing real estate knowledge. Winners determined by accuracy and speed, similar to trivia competitions.

Core Mechanics

Timed quizzes, market simulation challenges, case study analysis

Skill Elements

Knowledge, speed, strategy, adaptability

Winner Determination

Tournament brackets, leaderboard rankings, objective automated scoring

Implementation

Timeline: 6-9 months | Cost: $800K-$1.5M | Ongoing: $200K-$400K/year

Recommended: Hybrid Model

Combine all three models in phases: Start with knowledge tournaments (quick to market, low cost), add prediction challenges (core skill differentiation), then integrate strategy competitions (premium tier).

Phased Implementation
• Phase 1 (Months 1-6): Knowledge tournaments - $800K
• Phase 2 (Months 7-12): Prediction challenges - $1.5M
• Phase 3 (Months 13-18): Strategy competitions - $1M
Total: 18 months, $3.3M investment

Legal Strength: Multiple skill vectors demonstrate skill predominance. Statistical validation tracks correlation between expertise and winning outcomes. Expert testimony from real estate professionals supports skill classification.

Critical Success Factors
1. Demonstrable Skill Differentiation

Top 10% must win 40-60% of prizes (vs. 10% if random). Track repeat winners and skill improvement over time.

2. Objective Measurement

Automated scoring, transparent rubrics, public leaderboards. Avoid subjective judging without criteria.

3. AMOE Compliance

Free entry method provides equal opportunity. Paid entries offer additional attempts, not better odds per attempt.

4. User Experience Balance

Tiered difficulty levels, educational resources, gradual skill progression. Maintain accessibility while requiring genuine skill.

Does Legal Sweepstakes Protect From Regulators?

Analyzing whether AMOE compliance actually shields Homefund from enforcement actions.

The Short Answer: No

Critical Finding

Operating as a legal sweepstakes does NOT fully protect Homefund from regulators. Regulators look at how the business actually operates (substance), not just how it's labeled (form). Even with "no purchase necessary" (AMOE), Homefund has critical vulnerabilities that expose it to enforcement actions.

The Core Problem: Substance Over Form
1. Reserve Price Dependency

The business model requires paid contributions to meet the reserve price before awarding properties. This creates the argument that the sweepstakes is a facade for a paid lottery, free entries are a "token compliance measure," and the entire enterprise depends on consideration (payment).

Regulatory View: "If the property is never awarded unless enough people pay, then payment is effectively required despite the AMOE loophole."

2. For-Profit Structure

Unlike Omaze (partners with charities) or McDonald's Monopoly (promotional tool), Homefund is a for-profit real estate transaction platform. Regulators are more aggressive toward for-profit sweepstakes that generate revenue from entries, don't benefit charitable causes, and involve high-value prizes.

3. Recent Enforcement Trends

State Attorneys General have been actively shutting down platforms claiming to be "legal sweepstakes":

New York AG (2025): Shut down online sweepstakes casinos despite AMOE
Tennessee AG (2025): Crackdown on sweepstakes operators
Illinois Gaming Board (2026): Wave of cease-and-desist orders

Pattern: Regulators increasingly skeptical of sweepstakes structures used to circumvent lottery laws.

What Legal Sweepstakes Provides
Minimal Protection:
✓ Compliance with FL, NY, RI registration requirements
✓ Defense against claims of operating without AMOE
✓ Demonstrates good-faith effort to comply
What It Does NOT Prevent
✗ State AG investigations into illegal lottery operation
✗ Cease-and-desist orders based on "substance over form" analysis
✗ Criminal prosecution in states with strict lottery laws
✗ Federal enforcement (FTC, DOJ) for deceptive practices
The Legal Reality: Three-Part Lottery Test
1. Prize
✅ Yes (property)
2. Chance
✅ Yes (random draw)
3. Consideration
⚠️ Disputed

You claim AMOE eliminates consideration, but regulators may argue the reserve price requirement makes payment effectively mandatory. If regulators conclude consideration exists → Illegal lottery, regardless of AMOE.

Risk Assessment: Legal Sweepstakes Alone
State AG Investigation

For-profit + reserve price + real estate = regulatory red flags

HIGH 70%
Cease-and-Desist Order

Likely in at least one state if you scale nationally

MODERATE-HIGH 60%
Criminal Prosecution

Possible in strict states (AL, UT) or if you ignore C&D

LOW-MODERATE 20%
Federal Enforcement

Less likely unless massive scale or consumer complaints

LOW 10%
What Would Actually Reduce Risk
Pathway 1: Charitable Partnership (Omaze Model)

Partner with 501(c)(3) housing nonprofits, frame contributions as donations

Risk Reduction: 60% → 20%
Pathway 2: Restructure Reserve Price

Guarantee property draws regardless of reserve, absorb shortfall risk yourself

Risk Reduction: 60% → 35%
Pathway 3: Skill-Based Competition ⭐

Replace random draw with performance-based winner selection, eliminate lottery classification

Risk Reduction: 60% → 5%
Bottom Line

Operating as a legal sweepstakes is necessary but not sufficient. It's like wearing a seatbelt in a car with faulty brakes—it helps, but doesn't eliminate the core danger.

Your actual protection comes from:
1. Charitable component (removes profit motive scrutiny)
2. No reserve price dependency (eliminates "payment required" argument)
3. Skill-based model (avoids lottery classification entirely)

The sweepstakes structure with AMOE is a starting point for compliance, not a shield against enforcement. Given the recent regulatory crackdown and Homefund's for-profit + reserve price model, we assess a 60-70% probability of enforcement action within 2-3 years if you scale nationally—even with perfect sweepstakes compliance.

Interactive Risk Calculator

Adjust business model variables to see real-time impact on regulatory enforcement probability and timeline.

Enforcement Probability
Based on current configuration
85%
CRITICAL RISK
Risk Factors
Adjust variables to see impact on enforcement probability
80%

Percentage of property value that must be reached before awarding. 0% = no reserve price (lowest risk).

5%

Percentage of entries via free alternative method. Higher ratio = stronger sweepstakes defense.

0%

Percentage of revenue going to 501(c)(3) nonprofits. 50%+ significantly reduces risk.

50 states

Number of states where platform operates. More states = higher regulatory exposure.

Enforcement Timeline
Expected regulatory milestones
Month 640% probability

First AG Inquiry

Month 1260% probability

Cease & Desist

Month 1835% probability

Litigation Risk

Risk Factor Analysis
Reserve Price Dependency
High Impact
AMOE Compliance
Weak
Charitable Shield
None
Geographic Exposure
High
Recommendations

Critical Risk - Immediate Action Required

Consider: (1) Add 50%+ charitable component, (2) Eliminate reserve price, or (3) Limit to 1-3 states only.

How to Use This Calculator

This calculator models enforcement probability based on four key variables that regulators consider when evaluating sweepstakes platforms:

  • Reserve Price Threshold: Higher thresholds create stronger "payment required" arguments
  • AMOE Entry Ratio: Higher free-entry percentages strengthen sweepstakes defense
  • Charitable Component: Nonprofit partnerships reduce profit-motive scrutiny
  • State Operations: More jurisdictions = higher regulatory exposure

Note: This calculator provides estimates based on historical enforcement patterns and legal precedent. Actual regulatory outcomes depend on many additional factors including state-specific laws, enforcement priorities, and platform-specific circumstances.

9. Conclusion and Recommendation

Homefund is operating a high-risk business model in a volatile regulatory environment. Its attempt to use a sweepstakes structure to facilitate for-profit real estate transactions is clever, but it rests on a tenuous legal foundation that is likely to be challenged by regulators.

The company's central vulnerability is the argument that its "no purchase necessary" mechanism is a superficial compliance layer on what is, in substance, a for-profit lottery. The reserve price requirement makes the entire enterprise dependent on paid contributions, a fact that regulators are unlikely to ignore.

The recent wave of enforcement actions against similar online platforms, coupled with the felony-level seriousness with which some states treat illegal gambling, suggests that Homefund is exposed to significant legal peril.

It is the conclusion of this assessment that Homefund faces a moderate to high probability (60-70%) of regulatory enforcement action within 2-3 years if it scales, which could include cease-and-desist orders, fines, and, in the most severe scenarios, criminal prosecution.

Therefore, it is recommended that any party associated with Homefund proceed with extreme caution. The platform's long-term viability is questionable without a fundamental restructuring of its business model to align more closely with established legal precedents for sweepstakes and raffles, such as incorporating a genuine charitable component.

References

  1. [1] Homefund. (2025). Official Campaign Rules. gethomefund.com/official-rules
  2. [2] Butler, J. (2016). Problems with Offering Real Estate as a Contest or Sweepstakes Prize.
  3. [3] Raven5 Ltd. (2024). Can You Raffle off Real Estate? Understanding the Legalities.
  4. [4] Pretzel, J. (2025). Raffle Off Your Home? It Might Be a Felony. Realtor.com.
  5. [5] James, L. (2025). Attorney General James Stops Illegal Online Sweepstakes Casinos. NY AG.
  6. [6] Tennessee AG. (2025). Tennessee AG Cracks Down on Illegal Online Sweepstakes Casinos.
  7. [7] iGaming Today. (2026). Illinois regulator fires off cease-and-desist wave.
  8. [8] Ifrah Law. (2022). Federal Court Dismisses Illegal Lottery Claims Against Omaze.
  9. [9] U.S. SEC. (2024). Regulation Crowdfunding.